Champion's League for 10/19-10/20

[quantumleap]

First I'd like to summarize my plays since last month as a place to keep my record:

EPL-
9/11: +1.28
9/18: +0.15
9/25: -0.64
10/2: +1.07
10/16: +1.84

Champion's League-
9/14: -0.91
9/28: +3.74

World Cup Qualifying-
10/9: +2.17
10/13: +1.99

Dynamo Kiev +1 and +1.5 +104 over Real Madrid (2*)
All I can say is this line is just plain nuts. Kiev has been playing well in CL play. Real has the stars but they have struggled. Kiev is just too powerful to be given this many points.

Leverkusen/Roma over 2.5 -122
Leverkusen is a scoring machine both in the CL and in the Bundesliga. Who can forget the match between Roma and Real Madrid that ended 4-2?

Leverkusen pk and -0.5 over Roma
Roma is injured and in disarray. Leverkusen have not lost this season at home. They come off a disappointing road trip so they are looking to do well here.

Maccabi Tel-Aviv +1 and +1.5 +103 over Ajax
Tel-Aviv came through for me when I bet on them in their last CL match. They may not be the strongest team in the tourney but this defensive team has kept it close in all of their CL matches.

Tel-Aviv/Ajax under 2.5 +106
Neither team has scored in either of their 2 CL matches.

Barcelona pk and +0.5 -111 over Milan
Milan has played well in CL and are at home but Barcelona has just dominated in many of their matches both in CL and in the Spanish Primera Liga.

Porto pk and +0.5 -125 over PSG
Porto may not be the strongest team in the league but PSG is just plain terrible even at home. I've won twice betting against them. Why stop now?

 

[quantumleap]

Olympique Lyonnais pk +112 over Fenerbache
I almost forgot one of my favorite teams in Lyon. They have yet to be beaten in their league.

FSV pk +112 over Rosenborg
Rosenborg suprised Arsenal by playing to a 1-1 draw in their last CL match causing this line to be a pk. This will not happen again with PSV as they have 4 wins and 1 draw in their league while Rosenborg has 2 wins with 4 losses in the Norwegian league.

 

[chriscol]

For tuesday i like both of your leverkusen picks. The over looks very,very solid to me.
You are also right on your kiev and maccabi write ups, but these reasons are for me only enough to keep away from the games not to go with the dog.
The other game i like tonight is münchen +0.5. Both teams are in injury trouble, but the whole set up of the game looks to me like a draw. both have two wins and are draw is a result they both will like to advance. this game will be full of respect for the other team and about NOT loosing.therefore if we have a halftime draw, i see them both settle for that result.

Also i like the liverpool under. both are low scoring teams with solid defense.

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks for the input chriscol. I'll keep an eye on Munchen. This scenario of settling for a draw is exactly what I thought about the Barcelona/Milan match with the advantage going to Barcelona on the +0.5.

 

[EROL1]

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1lace>Liverpool</st1lace> – LaCoruna<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<st1lace>Liverpool</st1lace> to score @ 1.16<o></o>

Over 1.5 1. HT @ 2.80 FOnbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1lace>Liverpool</st1lace> made on the weekend a strong match against Fulham. They won the game after a 0-2 with 4:2. <st1lace>Liverpool</st1lace> is traditional a good team at home and should be here the favourite. <st1:City><st1lace>La Coruna</st1lace></st1:City> won at home on the weekend against Newcomer Getafe 2:1. I think <st1lace>Liverpool</st1lace> will here score – their offense is in a great form. And I think the Over 1.5 in the first half is possible and so I will try this bet for this nice price. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> – Roma <o></o>

Over 2.5 @ 1.70<o></o>

Over 1.5 1.HT @ 2.40<o></o>

Roma to score @ 1.40<o></o>

<o> </o>

Two very offensively teams playing today against each other. <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> is on road really bad but at home they are playing an another football – very offensively style and they scoring many goals at home. Roma have a great offense, too and I think they will score at least on goal in <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City>. <o></o>

 

[EROL1]

Real <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1lace>Madrid</st1lace></st1:State> – <st1:City><st1lace>Kiev</st1lace></st1:City><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

Over 2.5 @ 1.60<o></o>

1. Goal 1.-27.min @ 1.90 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

I think here a three goals highly probably. I think Real will score at least two goals against <st1:City><st1lace>Kiev</st1lace></st1:City> and I think Kiew is able to score at least one goal, too. And Real have not the best defense and they have one of the best offenses indeed a little bit in a crisis but I think three goals will be here no problem. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Ajax</st1lace></st1:City> – Maccabi<o></o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Ajax</st1lace></st1:City> Over 1.5 @ 1.50<o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Ajax</st1lace></st1:City> playing great at home and they have to win against Maccabi when they want still have chances to reach the next round. They are a little bit in a crisis and lost on the weekend against Heerenveen but I think they will no show your potential and beat Maccabi today. I will take the bet that <st1:City><st1lace>Ajax</st1lace></st1:City> will score at least 2 goals against Maccabi. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Juventus – Bayern Munich<o></o>

Bayern to score @ 1.60<o></o>

<o> </o>

Bayern lost on the weekend against Schalke at home but I think this is no an another game and Bayern will be motivated again. The bayern coach motivated the team really and I think they will not travel to Juventus only to lose the game and I think they have good chances. They will score at least one goal – for this odd is the bet really interesting. <o></o>

 

[EROL1]

Fenerbahce – Lyon<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

Fener to score @ 1.20 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

Both teams are in a great form in their Leagues. Fenerbahce playing a strong year and I think they are able to score against <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1lace>Lyon</st1lace> at least one goal at home. <st1lace>Lyon</st1lace> made good games but Fenerbahce is really strong at home and will be highly motivated to beat <st1lace>Lyon</st1lace> to have still chances for the next round. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Sparta</st1lace></st1:City> Prag – <st1:City><st1lace>Manchester</st1lace></st1:City> United<o></o>

ManU Under 1.5 @ 1.95<o></o>

<o> </o>

I expect a low-scoring game and a very defensively game from both teams. <st1:City><st1lace>Manchester</st1lace></st1:City> made on the weekend a poor game and their offense was really bad. So I think they will not score 2 goals against a hard-defense team like Sparta Prag. I think the price for this bet is really great. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:country-region><st1lace>Monaco</st1lace></st1:country-region> – Olympiakos <o></o>

<st1:country-region><st1lace>Monaco</st1lace></st1:country-region> Over 1.5 @ 1.75<o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:country-region><st1lace>Monaco</st1lace></st1:country-region> have a great forwarder. And I think Olympiakos is to bad for the Champions League. <st1:country-region><st1lace>Monaco</st1lace></st1:country-region> is really strong at home and I think they have the potential to score easy two goals against a team like Olympiakos. So I will take the bet for a nice price. <o></o>

 

[thomasd06]

Quantum you are on a roll. I followed every pick and made a few coins. Followed your weekend picks also. Thanks.

:howdy: :howdy: :howdy:

 

[booze]

used Lyon in my parlay with Olympique Marseille. Ligue 1 all the way baby!! Good handicapping guys. Damn Liverpool prevented me from having a big day

 

[quantumleap]

Glad you made some cash Thomasd. Hopefully this trend will continue. I didn't do quite as well with my side picks. I had Kiev to win at +750 and a draw between Real Madrid and Kiev at +330.

We still have Barcelona and FSV for Wednesday. Good luck.

Tuesday's results:
Leverkusen 3, Roma 1 (2 wins)
Real 1, Kiev 0 (1/2 win, 1/2 draw)
Ajax 3, MTA 0 (2 losses)
Lyon 3, Fenerbache (1 win)

3 1/2 wins, 2 losses, 1/2 draw +1.50

 

[quantumleap]

Oops. It should have read Barcelona and Porto for Wednesday not FSV.

 

[EROL1]

Anderlecht – Werder Bremen<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> to score @ 1.25<o></o>

Over 1. HT 1.5 @ 2.50 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

I think Anderlecht have no more chances to reach the next round but Bremen is on the second place and have good chances to reach the next round in the Champions League. And <st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> have a great offense and <st1lace>Anderlecht</st1lace> have not the best defense and so I think <st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> will score at least one goal with their great forwarders and offense. And I think for the price of 2.50 I will try the bet that in the first half the two teams will score more than one goal. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:country-region><st1lace>Valencia</st1lace></st1:country-region> – Inter <st1:City><st1lace>Milan</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

Inter to score @ 1.45

<o> </o>

Very great price. I think this is a great bet that Inter Milan will score at least one goal in <st1:country-region><st1lace>Valencia</st1lace></st1:country-region>. Inter <st1:City><st1lace>Milan</st1lace></st1:City> made great games and they scoring a lot of goals. Their top-forward-player Adriano is currently in a topform and one of the best forward-players on the world. Very nice bet! <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Chelsea</st1lace></st1:City> – CSKA <st1:City><st1lace>Moscow</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

1. HT Under 1.5 @ 1.45

<o> </o>

Both teams playing very defensively and I think we can not except many goals in this game between Chelsea London and CSKA Moscow. For this odd I think its good to bet that there will be no more than one goal in the first half. <o></o>

<o> </o>

PSG – <st1lace>Porto</st1lace><o></o>

2. HT Under 1.5 @ 1.52<o></o>

PSG Under 1.5 @ 1.55 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

Both teams have poor offenses. <st1:City><st1lace>Paris</st1lace></st1:City> scored no goal in the two games in the Champions League and <st1lace>Porto</st1lace> scored only one goal. Both teams are playing a defensively style and so I think we can except a boring game – I am sure that <st1:City><st1lace>Paris</st1lace></st1:City> will not score more than one goal against a opponent like FC Porto. And the bet that in the second half they will not score more than goal is for this price really playable. <o></o>

 

[EROL1]

Panathinaikos – Arsenal<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

1.HT Arsenal @ 2.20 <o></o>

Arsenal Over 1.5 @ 1.75 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

Arsenal won confident at the weekend against Aston Villa. Arsenal <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1lace>London</st1lace></st1:City> is for me one of my favourites for winning the UEFA-Champions-League. Arsenal <st1:City><st1lace>London</st1lace></st1:City> have a great offense to score against an average team like Panathinaikos two goals. And I think they will score the first goal already in the first half and so I take the Arsenal-Over bet and the bet that Arsenal will win the first half against the <st1:country-region><st1lace>Greece</st1lace></st1:country-region> team. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Rosenborg – PSV <st1:City><st1lace>Eindhoven</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

PSV to score @ 1.38<o></o>

1. HT Over 1.5 @ 2.50

Both teams have good offenses and not the best defense. And so I think the bet that in the first half will they score at least two goals is really value for this nice price from the bookie. And I think its highly possible that PSV Eindhoven will score in <st1:country-region><st1lace>Norway</st1lace></st1:country-region>. Both odds are really interesting and playable. <o></o>

<o> </o>

AC Milan – FC Barcelona<o></o>

Both teams to score @ 1.66

Both teams are favourites for the winning of the Champions League. And they are playing in their counties and in the UEFA Champions League excellent football and they scoring many goals – but they have great forwarder and so I think both teams will score today evening. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Shakhtar – Celtic<o></o>

Shakhtar Under 1.5 @ 1.75 Fonbet<o></o>

<o> </o>

Here I have a really interesting bet for a wonderful price from the bookie. Shakhtar will not score more than 1 goal. They scored no goal in the two games in the UEFA-Champions League and the opponent Celtic Glasgow have a good and sturdy defense. And I am sure that Shakhtar will not score more than one goal against the Scottish team. <o></o>

 

[quantumleap]

Wednesday results:
FSV 2, Rosenborg 1 (win)
Milan 1, Barcelona 0 (loss)
PSG 2, Porto 0 (loss)

Final result for CL:
4 1/2 wins, 4 losses, 1/2 draw +0.62

 

[quantumleap]

<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:country-region><st1lace>Valencia</st1lace></st1:country-region> – Inter <st1:City><st1lace>Milan</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

Inter to score @ 1.45

<o></o>

Very great price. I think this is a great bet that Inter Milan will score at least one goal in <st1:country-region><st1lace>Valencia</st1lace></st1:country-region>. Inter <st1:City><st1lace>Milan</st1lace></st1:City> made great games and they scoring a lot of goals. Their top-forward-player Adriano is currently in a topform and one of the best forward-players on the world. Very nice bet! <o></o>

<o></o>

Great find EROL1! Inter Milan 5 - Valencia 1.

I'm going to have to get an account at Fonbet.